Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 218.083058 245.138371 275.043709 310.691879 352.210643 399.258976 456.916913
2025-03-02 180.462280 217.049546 261.059295 318.485180 392.308392 485.223131 612.953664
2025-03-09 156.839080 197.032029 248.122088 318.960611 416.464855 548.746824 746.778955
2025-03-16 138.000477 179.195114 233.823162 313.255761 428.732237 595.337032 863.363288
2025-03-23 125.796906 168.064607 226.213408 314.388293 449.028327 654.562369 1008.396876
2025-03-30 113.824071 155.645651 214.946420 308.072272 456.320477 693.936021 1128.255966
2025-04-06 105.132489 146.849183 207.669493 306.348628 469.743620 744.199726 1276.254521
2025-04-13 94.807174 134.625080 193.948102 292.701285 461.429228 755.789592 1354.797899
2025-04-20 91.347171 132.319941 194.991967 302.663137 493.945607 844.004911 1602.284016
2025-04-27 88.764407 131.062481 197.429403 315.019603 532.157497 949.159066 1912.548977
2025-05-04 84.119178 126.126108 193.403754 315.642596 548.681788 1014.671458 2152.288138
2025-05-11 78.344035 118.915810 184.973268 307.458649 547.128712 1042.655644 2309.888832
2025-05-18 73.331836 112.705323 177.898825 301.336984 549.494729 1080.905352 2509.105761
2025-05-25 70.988805 110.773695 178.016429 308.659972 580.306134 1188.393737 2930.707555
2025-06-01 67.782770 107.124459 174.777647 309.125442 596.665951 1265.652107 3294.687170
2025-06-08 63.990896 102.197866 168.846672 303.635847 599.223316 1309.908983 3574.568009
2025-06-15 61.452114 99.285511 166.336734 304.725661 616.626098 1395.131635 4022.273330
2025-06-22 58.163625 94.830520 160.631032 298.647507 616.593990 1434.602099 4328.679538
2025-06-29 55.698576 91.704062 157.194510 296.988585 626.840655 1504.413968 4779.047950
2025-07-06 52.011019 86.147716 148.755547 283.850749 607.401605 1486.519444 4880.189053
2025-07-13 51.271766 85.964296 150.675037 293.441207 646.057963 1647.228990 5801.755292
2025-07-20 50.799592 86.239395 153.498937 305.333134 692.617107 1844.785537 7017.968015
2025-07-27 49.137003 84.161774 151.464030 305.932595 709.290535 1951.416630 7871.491205